Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
NDA
0 - 1
SIM
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 1
SIM
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TOT
1 - 1
SIM
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 2
SIM
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SIM
6 - 1
MMA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
AZA
1 - 0
MTI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
MTI
3 - 0
JKT
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 0
MTI
35%
30%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MBE
2 - 2
MTI
38%
30%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MTI
4 - 1
MWA
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |