Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 0
YOU
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SIM
5 - 0
TAN
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
1 - 0
SIM
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
POL
0 - 2
SIM
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
COA
0 - 0
SIM
31%
31%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MTI
1 - 1
MBE
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MTI
2 - 1
POL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JKT
1 - 0
MTI
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NDA
0 - 0
MTI
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
5 - 2
MTI
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |