Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
TAN
0 - 1
SIM
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 1
REC
38%
23%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JKT
1 - 1
SIM
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SIM
1 - 1
JKT
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
AFR
1 - 3
SIM
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
MTI
0 - 0
RUV
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MTI
1 - 4
AZA
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
YOU
1 - 1
MTI
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MTI
0 - 1
POL
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AFR
1 - 3
MTI
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |