Simba SC vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
MTI
0 - 1
SIM
25%
29%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
NMF
0 - 2
SIM
24%
29%
47%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 0
SIM
68%
20%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +6 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
SIM
2 - 2
ALM
22%
22%
56%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
SIM
3 - 3
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MBE
0 - 0
AZA
18%
29%
54%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
RUV
2 - 2
MBE
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MBE
2 - 1
MBA
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MBE
0 - 0
MWA
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MBE
0 - 0
SUN
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |