Simba SC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
WYD
1 - 0
SIM
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
SIM
11%
18%
72%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
ASE
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
NAM
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 5
YOU
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
KAG
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 1
KMC
37%
31%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
KAG
2 - 1
TAN
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 0
KFC
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DJF
1 - 0
KAG
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |