Simba SC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
SIM
4 - 1
RUV
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
NAM
2 - 2
SIM
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
YOU
0 - 0
SIM
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PIR
1 - 0
SIM
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SIM
1 - 0
PIR
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
GGF
1 - 0
KAG
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
KAG
1 - 0
AZA
36%
30%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 0
KMC
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MTI
1 - 1
KAG
31%
31%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MBE
0 - 1
KAG
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |