Simba SC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LFC
0 - 1
SIM
15%
26%
60%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 3
SIM
16%
25%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
SIM
0 - 1
JKT
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 1
POL
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 0
COA
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 0
MBA
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 2
AFC
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 0
BUM
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 1
MWA
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
3 - 0
SUT
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |