Simba SC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
COA
0 - 0
SIM
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SIM
4 - 1
JKT
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
YOU
1 - 1
SIM
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 1
TAN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 1
RUV
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
KAG
0 - 0
JKT
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
KAG
1 - 0
YOU
41%
29%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
RUV
0 - 2
KAG
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
COA
3 - 2
KAG
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
JKT
0 - 1
KAG
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |