Simba SC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 0
AZA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
VSQ
1 - 0
SIM
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 0
JKT
53%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 1
COA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
MOU
3 - 3
SIM
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
JKT
0 - 1
KAG
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
KAG
2 - 2
MOU
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
KAG
0 - 2
MTI
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
KAG
0 - 1
JKT
51%
27%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RUV
1 - 1
KAG
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |