Simba SC vs AS Polisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 2
SIM
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TOT
2 - 2
SIM
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
SIM
41%
30%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SIM
2 - 1
COA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
REC
4 - 0
SIM
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
AS Polisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
POL
0 - 0
RUV
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
POL
0 - 0
YOU
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JKT
3 - 2
POL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 1
POL
65%
22%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
POL
0 - 0
JKT
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |