Simba FC vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
SOA
3 - 3
SIM
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 3
VIP
39%
30%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
SIM
0 - 0
SAD
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
EXP
1 - 3
SIM
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SIM
0 - 2
SOA
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SCV
1 - 0
KHA
48%
28%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
KHA
0 - 1
SCV
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +3 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
SCV
0 - 0
UGA
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
KCC
0 - 0
SCV
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SCV
3 - 2
EXP
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |