Simat vs Real Safor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
TMO
2 - 3
SIM
13%
16%
70%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SIM
5 - 0
CFB
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 3
SIM
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SIM
4 - 0
VIL
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 2
SIM
33%
20%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |