Simat vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
SIM
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SIM
1 - 3
ORB
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BEN
5 - 0
SIM
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
SIM
2 - 1
LLO
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SPO
7 - 0
SIM
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PEG
3 - 1
REA
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OCF
0 - 1
PEG
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 2
PEG
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PEG
1 - 2
POR
54%
23%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GOR
4 - 1
PEG
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |