Simat vs El Verger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CDC
3 - 3
SIM
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 2
ATH
13%
18%
70%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
SIM
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SIM
4 - 1
JAV
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UDO
4 - 1
SIM
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
El Verger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
JAV
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TAV
2 - 1
VER
40%
22%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VER
2 - 2
GAN
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DAI
2 - 1
VER
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
BEN
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |