Silva SD vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Silva SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
SIL
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SIL
0 - 2
UDO
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RCF
4 - 2
SIL
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SIL
0 - 3
ARO
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
SIL
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALO
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 2
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
POL
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 2
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 2
SOM
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |