Silva SD vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Silva SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UPH
1 - 1
SIL
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SIL
0 - 1
ARZ
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RCV
1 - 0
SIL
58%
22%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SIL
2 - 3
SOM
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 0
SIL
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARO
3 - 1
ASP
63%
20%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EST
0 - 1
ARO
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 1
UDO
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POL
2 - 2
ARO
36%
24%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BOU
2 - 2
ARO
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |