Sillamäe Kalev vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TIN
4 - 2
SIK
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
TUL
1 - 0
SIK
24%
21%
55%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SIK
0 - 0
TIN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 5
SIK
13%
19%
67%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
SIK
1 - 4
FLO
20%
23%
58%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
PAI
4 - 1
PAR
79%
13%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAI
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +3 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 5
SIK
13%
19%
67%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 5
TIN
16%
25%
59%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | -1 |