Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 3-7
Sillamäe Kalev vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
SIK
1 - 2
FLO
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
KAL
0 - 2
SIK
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SIK
0 - 0
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
LEV
2 - 0
SIK
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SIK
0 - 0
TIN
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
RIE
0 - 1
HKS
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
SPL
1 - 1
HKS
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
HKS
1 - 0
ZAG
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
DZG
4 - 0
HKS
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
HKS
3 - 2
OSI
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |