Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 6-1
Silkeborg IF vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Silkeborg IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1995 |
AAB
4 - 1
SIF
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1995 |
SIF
3 - 1
FCK
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
SIF
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1995 |
IKA
1 - 0
SIF
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
SIF
1 - 0
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
SIF
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
CLI
2 - 2
CRU
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1995 |
CRU
1 - 3
GLE
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
ARD
0 - 0
CRU
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |