Sileks vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
2º
45
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 0
SIL
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
SIL
4 - 1
VOK
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 2
SIL
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 0
PEL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 1
SIL
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIK
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
GOS
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 2
SHK
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |