Sileks vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
2º
51
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 0
SIL
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SHK
4 - 2
SIL
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SIL
1 - 1
TIK
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SIL
1 - 2
DEP
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SIL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 0
GOS
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 2
VAR
67%
22%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GOS
1 - 0
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 1
BES
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -3 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 2
ZEM
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |