Sileks vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
4º
4º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AKP
3 - 0
SIL
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SIL
0 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 0
SIL
16%
27%
57%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
SHK
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
RAB
0 - 1
SIL
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 0
SHK
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAB
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
POB
2 - 0
FCS
16%
27%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |