Signal Bernex-Confignon vs Vernier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+172%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
12º
45
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
97.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
53.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
44% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Signal Bernex-Confignon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SBC
0 - 2
FAR
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PFO
1 - 2
SBC
33%
21%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SBC
2 - 2
FCA
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
SBC
15%
17%
69%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
SBC
1 - 1
TER
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
VER
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 0
MAR
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USC
0 - 1
VER
69%
17%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VER
2 - 4
ECH
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
COL
25%
20%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |