Signal Bernex-Confignon vs Martigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
12º
56
1º
15º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
97.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
53.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
44% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Signal Bernex-Confignon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
USC
0 - 0
SBC
19%
18%
63%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SBC
2 - 1
ECH
71%
17%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SBC
2 - 2
VER
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SBC
0 - 2
FAR
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PFO
1 - 2
SBC
33%
21%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLO
83%
11%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
COL
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
ECH
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 0
MAR
14%
17%
69%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
FAR
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |