Signal Bernex-Confignon vs FC Châtel-St-Denis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
12º
17
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
97.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
53.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
44% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Signal Bernex-Confignon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ODG
1 - 1
SBC
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SBC
1 - 3
ROM
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
TER
1 - 1
SBC
46%
21%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CON
4 - 2
SBC
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SBC
1 - 0
UGS
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FCC
2 - 1
SLO
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCC
88%
9%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 1
USC
20%
20%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 4
ECH
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 4
VER
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |