Sierre vs Forward analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
53.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
SIE
62%
19%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 2
FCA
24%
20%
55%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 2
SIE
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 1
UGS
30%
22%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
COL
3 - 0
SIE
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FCF
3 - 0
ITA
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VEY
1 - 1
FCF
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
FCF
1 - 2
FCM
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SBC
0 - 5
FCF
53%
20%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FCF
1 - 2
SER
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |