Sierre vs Forward analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
SIE
29%
20%
51%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 1
DAR
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
INT
4 - 0
SIE
77%
13%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 0
FCM
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 4
SBC
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCF
2 - 0
CON
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FCF
7 - 1
COL
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 4
FCF
16%
17%
67%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FCF
0 - 4
DAR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
INT
3 - 1
FCF
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |