Sierra Segura C.F. vs Orcera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Segura C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 3
IBR
20%
20%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ACF
4 - 0
SIE
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 5
CDV
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PZA
5 - 0
SIE
49%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 5
BEA
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Orcera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RUS
4 - 1
ORC
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ORC
0 - 0
PUE
55%
19%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BEG
5 - 0
ORC
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ORC
4 - 3
QUE
37%
22%
42%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MOG
3 - 2
ORC
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |