Sierra Leone vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLE
17%
20%
63%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SLE
0 - 0
CIV
13%
21%
66%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
SLE
0 - 2
MTN
67%
22%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MTN
2 - 1
SLE
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SDN
1 - 0
SLE
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLE
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
CHA
93%
5%
1%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
4%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
MWI
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +2 |