CAF U20 Preliminary stages Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Sierra Leone U20 vs Guinea-Bisáu U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
GNB
1 - 0
SLE
8%
18%
75%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 0
SLE
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SLE
0 - 2
GAM
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CMR
2 - 0
SLE
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SLE
1 - 1
CMR
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea-Bisáu U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
GNB
1 - 0
SLE
8%
18%
75%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |