Sierning vs Union Perg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
VOC
3 - 1
SIE
86%
11%
3%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 2
BAD
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 2
GMU
35%
26%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 0
SIE
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 4
GRU
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
UNP
3 - 1
GMU
59%
20%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
WEL
2 - 3
UNP
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
UNP
3 - 1
GRU
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
DON
0 - 3
UNP
64%
19%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
UNP
0 - 3
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |