Sierning vs Traun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
0 - 4
SIE
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 0
SIE
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 2
UNI
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 1
GMU
53%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NEU
1 - 1
SIE
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Traun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SVT
0 - 0
NEU
20%
23%
57%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SVT
2 - 1
ATS
31%
24%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SVW
2 - 1
SVT
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SVT
3 - 3
GRI
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GRU
2 - 0
SVT
77%
15%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |