Sierning vs Traun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
BAD
1 - 1
SIE
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SIE
3 - 3
VOR
11%
20%
69%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EFE
0 - 1
SIE
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GRU
0 - 2
SIE
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
DON
48%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Traun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
GMU
4 - 0
SVT
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SVT
1 - 4
BAD
24%
23%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
VOR
2 - 0
SVT
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 54 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
EFE
2 - 0
SVT
38%
24%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SVT
4 - 1
GRU
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |