Sierning vs Stadl-Paura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 0
SIE
67%
20%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
GMU
3 - 2
SIE
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
DON
1 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2015 |
STA
1 - 0
UNI
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
0 - 1
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
BAD
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 5
STA
29%
23%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |