Sierning vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 2
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
UNP
2 - 2
SIE
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
VOC
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 2
SIE
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
GMU
6 - 0
SIE
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
GMU
1 - 2
MAR
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
WEL
24%
23%
53%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
3 - 2
MAR
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
DON
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
2 - 3
MAR
84%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |