Sierning vs Eferding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
4 - 1
SIE
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 4
BAD
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
USD
0 - 2
SIE
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 0
BAD
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
GMU
0 - 0
SIE
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Eferding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
EFE
3 - 1
SVF
40%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
EFE
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
6 - 0
EFE
58%
21%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EFE
0 - 5
BAD
39%
23%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
USD
0 - 3
EFE
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |