Sierning vs Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SSM
4 - 2
SIE
61%
20%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 3
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 2
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
UNP
2 - 2
SIE
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
VOC
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 0
GMU
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
WEL
2 - 0
BAD
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GRU
3 - 0
BAD
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 2
DON
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
1 - 1
BAD
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |