Sierning vs Sattledt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SVT
0 - 1
SIE
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
DON
0 - 4
SIE
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 1
BAD
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SIE
4 - 1
URB
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
VOC
7 - 2
SIE
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sattledt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ATS
1 - 0
BAD
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
URB
4 - 0
ATS
26%
24%
49%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 2
VOC
17%
22%
61%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
ATS
0 - 1
GMU
31%
25%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LAS
4 - 1
ATS
57%
23%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |