Siena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
SIE
24%
25%
50%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SIE
0 - 0
PIS
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MON
0 - 3
SIE
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SIE
0 - 2
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 0
SIE
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 2
PES
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PON
2 - 1
ACD
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
3 - 3
OLB
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 2
ACD
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ASG
3 - 1
ACD
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |