Siena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
SIE
0 - 1
INT
11%
22%
68%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 1
SIE
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
UDI
4 - 1
SIE
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 2
SIE
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TER
3 - 1
SPE
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
TER
2 - 0
GIU
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
REA
4 - 0
TER
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TER
0 - 0
COS
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |