Siena vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 1
SIE
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ACM
4 - 0
SIE
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
INT
4 - 3
SIE
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 5
FIO
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
UDI
2 - 3
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAT
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAM
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAL
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |