Siena vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 0
SDC
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 10 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 0
SIE
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 0
SIC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 3
NUO
30%
29%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 1
SIE
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
PON
2 - 1
ASA
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PIA
2 - 0
PON
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
PON
4 - 0
LIV
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TER
1 - 1
PON
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
PON
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |