Siena vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 2
SIE
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 0
CAG
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
SIE
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 2
ATL
50%
27%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 0
SIE
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
PES
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
TOR
61%
24%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAR
41%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |