Siena vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SIE
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 3
CAT
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 3
ROM
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SIE
2 - 0
TOR
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 2
BOL
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 3
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
56%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 3
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
5 - 1
PES
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |