Siena vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 0
SIE
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SIE
0 - 0
LIV
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
SIE
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SIE
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SIE
3 - 0
ABN
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
REG
21%
26%
53%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 1
MON
74%
19%
7%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
MON
0 - 0
ABN
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
USC
0 - 0
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
MON
2 - 1
ASL
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +1 |