Siena vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
SIE
16%
24%
61%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 1
PIS
75%
18%
8%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
SIE
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 2
SIE
23%
26%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 4
TUT
75%
18%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 2
ASL
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 1
LAQ
39%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |