Siena vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
LEC
0 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
SIE
0 - 0
REG
36%
27%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ROM
6 - 0
SIE
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAR
21%
26%
53%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 0
SIE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 0
ANC
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
UDI
3 - 0
ANC
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ANC
0 - 0
ROM
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MOD
2 - 1
ANC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |