Siena vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
ROM
1 - 0
SIE
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
LIV
0 - 0
SIE
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
SIE
2 - 2
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 1
SIE
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SIE
1 - 2
PIS
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
ANC
0 - 3
NAP
36%
24%
41%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
ANC
1 - 2
PAL
41%
24%
36%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
FIO
5 - 0
ANC
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
ANC
0 - 1
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
TOR
7 - 0
ANC
84%
10%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |