Siena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
SIE
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
ANC
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
SIE
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OLB
0 - 0
SIE
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CES
6 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MON
4 - 0
CES
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CES
1 - 0
ACD
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
CES
18%
26%
57%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
CES
2 - 2
REG
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |