Siena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SIE
0 - 0
PON
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 0
SDC
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 10 | 41 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 0
SIE
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 0
SIC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 3
NUO
30%
29%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
24%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
PIS
0 - 0
ARZ
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASL
0 - 1
ARZ
36%
29%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 1
EMP
9%
18%
74%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 2
FIO
9%
19%
72%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |